Superforecasting: Aaron Rodgers Update 2

Jets Quarterback is Throwing the Ball 50+ Yards

Aaron Rodgers threw some passes before the Jets’ loss to the Chargers. Source

On Monday night, the NY Jets played the LA Chargers and faced an unfortunate loss, posing a setback for our forecast of a Rodgers return as we are relying on the Jets to stay in playoff contention for our prediction. Our belief is that Rodgers is pushing the boundaries of his return because the Jets remain in playoff contention. Additionally, we think Rodgers would only contemplate returning this year if there's a realistic chance of a Super Bowl run.

Rodgers Throwing 50+ Yards

In the previous week, we observed Rodgers dropping back, coordinating his foot movements, and placing more weight (i.e., load) on his recovering left side. This week, the notable progression is that he's not only putting weight on it but is also beginning to generate and transmit force through that extremity into the ground to throw. This force transmission is evident in the video below, showcasing Rodgers throwing the ball for a distance exceeding 50 yards.

Click on the image to see the video of Rodgers throwing 50+ yards. Source

Rodgers Subjective Information Flow

Rodgers discusses his current status regarding the return to performance without divulging any new specific details in his most recent interview. This interview serves to enhance the signals we highlighted last week.

Not at Point B

As strength practitioners, we acknowledge that Rodgers is far from ready to play - he is not at Point B. We understand the necessity for him to engage in training work that stimulates the development of new connective tissue architecture and subsequently train that architecture to effectively transmit and bear load. However, what remains unclear to us is the role of the speed bridge and the extent to which this device is contributing. We hold the belief that this implant, serving as connective tissue, will likely play a much more significant role than our current understanding suggests.

Return too Soon?

It's interesting to observe the national media now publishing articles suggesting that Rodgers might return too soon - meaning this year. At Absolute, we're hopeful for Rodgers to make a comeback, ideally for the playoffs. As practitioners who extensively employ the FRS Internal Strength Model, we comprehend through real life experience that specific and intentional internal training can lead to positive and favorable biological changes in the trainee - at the level of adaption. While training specificity doesn't accelerate the biological processes themselves, it does expedite the return-to-performance processes, often yielding surprisingly rapid results to the athlete.

Rooting for the Practitioners

We remain optimistic and bullish that this scenario unfolds for Rodgers, validating our forecast and shining a spotlight on the practitioners working with him to make it happen. We hold immense respect for our fellow strength practitioners and genuinely root for their success. Practitioners often don't receive the credit they deserve, and those working with Rodgers are pushing the boundaries, a quality we deeply admire. It's through pushing these limits that we can truly expand and progress.